WORKING DRAFT v0.5 · photographs, tools & downloads in place see §12 for the resource library
09 · From Weights to Answers

Analysis & Calculations

Every metric an audit reports is computed from the long-format dataset assembled in §08. This section defines each metric, works it through a single consistent example, and closes with the emissions layer — the companion dashboard that converts composition results into greenhouse-gas terms. Formulas are stated once, worked once, and accompanied by the mistakes each one invites.

The worked example

All calculations on this page use one dataset: a facility audit ("Maple Centre", spring event) that sampled all three streams over a five-day generation period with 120 employees on site. Stream totals: garbage 380 kg (five sorting samples), recycling 120 kg, organics 60 kg — 560 kg in all. Within the garbage stream: 130 kg food waste, 95 kg program-recyclable materials, and 155 kg residual. The recycling stream contained 14 kg of non-target material; the organics stream, 6 kg.

0garbage stream · 380 kg

Composition

Component share (aggregated across samples)
share = Σ component net across samples ÷ Σ all nets across samples × 100
Worked: food waste in garbage = 130 ÷ 380 = 34.2%. Composition is always computed from summed weights — never by averaging the per-sample percentages.

The distinction matters whenever samples differ in size, which is always. Two samples make the point: sample A is 100 kg with 30 kg food (30%); sample B is 20 kg with 2 kg food (10%). The average of the percentages is 20%; the true aggregate is 32 ÷ 120 = 26.7%. The small sample has dragged the simple average seven points from the answer. Weighted aggregation is not a refinement; it is the definition.

Generation rate

Generation per unit per time
rate = total generation ÷ units ÷ period
Worked: 560 kg ÷ 120 employees ÷ 5 operating days = 0.93 kg per employee per day. The denominator comes from F-01, recorded on site with its source. Curbside equivalent: kg per household per week, using set-out counts to report participation alongside.

Capture rate

Share of divertible material actually diverted
capture = material in its correct stream ÷ total of that material generated × 100
"In its correct stream" is net of contamination: the organics cart held 60 kg, of which 54 kg was organic material (6 kg was contamination), and a further 6 kg of food was found in the recycling. Organics capture = 54 ÷ (54 + 130 + 6) = 28.4%. Recyclables: 106 kg of target material in the recycling stream ÷ 201 kg of recyclables generated = 52.7%. Computable only under stream linkage (§02) — all streams from the same generators over the same period.

Contamination rate

Non-target share of a diversion stream
contamination = non-target material ÷ total stream weight × 100
Worked: recycling 14 ÷ 120 = 11.7%; organics 6 ÷ 60 = 10.0%. "Non-target" is defined by the program's accepted-materials list (§06), which is why the category list is aligned to it during design.

Diversion rate — current and potential

Diversion, as operated and as achievable
current = diverted streams ÷ total generation  ·  potential = (diverted + divertible in garbage) ÷ total
Worked: current = (120 + 60) ÷ 560 = 32.1% (streams as collected); potential = all material whose correct stream is a diversion stream ÷ total = (201 + 190) ÷ 560 = 69.8%. The nearly 38-point gap between the two numbers is the audit's headline: it is the tonnage available to program improvement, and §11 ranks responses by their claim on it.

The analysis worksheet

Few audit teams should compute these metrics by hand, and none should have to. The worksheet below performs every calculation on this page automatically: enter the audited weights (in kilograms) for each category in each stream, set the denominator for the generation rate, and the results update as you type. The correct stream column encodes the local program — change it where your program differs (film plastics being the usual case) and every capture, contamination, and potential-diversion figure recomputes. Entries save automatically in your browser; nothing is transmitted. The category list is a simplified twelve-row version of §06 for on-screen use; the full 73-material calculation belongs to the emissions dashboard below and the §12 workbook.

Audit analysis worksheet
days
Category (simplified)Correct stream In garbage (kg) In recycling (kg) In organics (kg) % of garbage
0kg
total material audited
—
generation rate
—
current diversion rate
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potential diversion rate
—
recyclables capture rate
—
organics capture rate
—
recycling-stream contamination
—
organics-stream contamination
0%diversion — current vs potential
Point estimates only — precision depends on sample count (§03 calculator). Capture rates are computed net of contamination; "correct stream" defines both capture and contamination. Data stays in this browser (local storage); use Clear before entering a new audit.

Reporting precision honestly

Every percentage above is a point estimate from a finite sample, and §03's relationship between sample count and precision applies to it. With five sorting samples and typical between-sample variability, a major component such as the 34.2% food figure carries a relative precision on the order of ±40% at 90% confidence — properly reported as "approximately one-third of the garbage stream," or as 34% with its interval stated, never as 34.2% unqualified. Three reporting rules follow: round to the precision the sample count supports (§03 calculator); report low-prevalence categories as indicative; and state the sampling frame with every number — "34% of the garbage stream, spring event" is a different claim from "34% of waste."

Extrapolation and seasonal weighting

Scaling audit results beyond their frame is legitimate only when the scaling assumptions are stated. For a facility audit, the audited generation period scales through the operating calendar: 560 kg per 5-day week × 49 operating weeks ≈ 27.4 tonnes/year, an estimate that assumes the audited week is representative — the assumption the §02 timing rules exist to protect, and one properly reported as a range once §03 precision is applied. For multi-season community studies, annual composition is the weighted combination of seasonal events:

Season-weighted annual estimate
annual share = Σ ( seasonal share × seasonal tonnage weight )
Seasonal tonnage weights come from scalehouse or hauler records for the periods each event represents. Unweighted averaging of seasons misstates any component with a strong seasonal cycle — yard waste above all (§02).

Moisture is treated at this stage as a stated limitation rather than a correction: samples flagged wet on F-04 are identified, the affected categories named (fibre absorbs; organics shed), and where the flags are numerous a sensitivity note reports totals with and without flagged samples. Gravimetric moisture correction (drying subsamples) is a specialist step beyond most program audits and is noted here only so its absence is a documented choice.

The emissions layer

Composition data becomes a carbon estimate by applying stream- and material-specific emission factors to the audited tonnages. The companion Waste Audit Emissions Dashboard performs this calculation on the full 73-material list that §06's crosswalk maps to. It runs in its own tab; the panel below summarizes what it computes and how audit data reaches it.

WASTE AUDIT EMISSIONS DASHBOARD · COMPANION TOOL wastecoeffecient.netlify.app

The dashboard applies stream-specific emission coefficients to all 73 materials of the §06 crosswalk and reports the audit's carbon footprint, the emissions avoided through diversion, and the largest-contributing stream, with EPA-based equivalencies for communication. To move an audit into it:

  1. Pivot the §08 Weights sheet by crosswalk code and stream (or start from this page's worksheet CSV).
  2. Enter or import the quantities under Recycling, Green bin, and Garbage.
  3. Record the audit metadata (name, location, date), then save, print, or export the results.
Open the emissions dashboard ↗

Common analytical errors

Checked before any result is reported
Averaging per-sample percentages instead of aggregating weights · annualizing a single atypical period · reporting more decimal places than the sample count supports · comparing results across audits whose category lists differ (§06 version discipline) · treating set-out data as generation data (§02) · ignoring moisture flags · presenting shared-container results as tenant-specific (§02). Each of these produces a plausible-looking number that cannot survive review.
Audit workbook spreadsheet preview

Worked-Example Workbook

The Maple Centre dataset as a downloadable workbook: the long-format Weights sheet, every calculation on this page as an inspectable formula, and the pivot that produces the dashboard export.

XLSX — blank workbook and Maple Centre worked example

Related

Sample-size and precision: the §03 calculator. Category codes and the 73-material crosswalk: §06. Dataset structure and entry checks: §08. Turning these results into program decisions: §11.

Sources & further reading
  1. Waste Audit Emissions Dashboard — wastecoeffecient.netlify.app (73-material coefficient workbook; embedded above)
  2. US EPA — Greenhouse Gas Equivalencies Calculator: calculations and references (basis of the dashboard's equivalency figures)
  3. ASTM International — D5231-92(2016) (composition calculation and reporting)